Southerners most likely to blame Obama for direction of country
In 2008, President Obama had enough traction in the South to win a third of the region's Electoral College votes and convince millions of other Southerners to pick him for the presidency.
But since then, the trendlines have been all downhill, and -- as Facing South has reported before -- the South has emerged as Obama's achilles heel.
Consider the latest DailyKos/Research2000 poll, one of the few to provide regional breakdowns of its data. Their latest survey shows that, across the country, growing numbers of people believe the country is headed in the wrong direction:
As you can see, every region of the country believes the country is headed in the "wrong direction." The South is definitely the leader, but the Midwest and West are strongly in negative territory.
But how do these regions view President Obama? When it comes to the president's approval ratings, only those in Southern states show a net disapproval:
The difference is striking: People across the country are concerned about the direction of the country, but the South is the only region where a large majority seem to be holding President Obama responsible.
Contrast this regional dislike of Obama to how different regions view Congressional Democrats. According to the DailyKos/Research2000 poll, Southerners aren't fond of them, but the same is true for other parts of the country:
The South still leads the pack, but other regions outside the Northeast are just as likely to be disenchanted with Democrats in Congress.
Only one region -- the South -- focuses its displeasure so intently on the president.
Of course, as we've written before, the not-so-hidden element here is race. Not all Southerners disapprove of Obama's performance: The president still enjoys 91% favorable ratings among African-Americans and 69% among Latinos nationally, and while there's no regional breakdown in the DailyKos/Research2000 poll by race (the sample size would likely be too small to be reliable), I'm not aware of any data to suggest the approval of those groups is significantly lower in the South.
Which means that once you isolate for race, a stark reality becomes clear: White Southerners don't like Obama, and more than anywhere else in the country, they think he's to blame for moving the country in the wrong direction.
But since then, the trendlines have been all downhill, and -- as Facing South has reported before -- the South has emerged as Obama's achilles heel.
Consider the latest DailyKos/Research2000 poll, one of the few to provide regional breakdowns of its data. Their latest survey shows that, across the country, growing numbers of people believe the country is headed in the wrong direction:
As you can see, every region of the country believes the country is headed in the "wrong direction." The South is definitely the leader, but the Midwest and West are strongly in negative territory.
But how do these regions view President Obama? When it comes to the president's approval ratings, only those in Southern states show a net disapproval:
The difference is striking: People across the country are concerned about the direction of the country, but the South is the only region where a large majority seem to be holding President Obama responsible.
Contrast this regional dislike of Obama to how different regions view Congressional Democrats. According to the DailyKos/Research2000 poll, Southerners aren't fond of them, but the same is true for other parts of the country:
The South still leads the pack, but other regions outside the Northeast are just as likely to be disenchanted with Democrats in Congress.
Only one region -- the South -- focuses its displeasure so intently on the president.
Of course, as we've written before, the not-so-hidden element here is race. Not all Southerners disapprove of Obama's performance: The president still enjoys 91% favorable ratings among African-Americans and 69% among Latinos nationally, and while there's no regional breakdown in the DailyKos/Research2000 poll by race (the sample size would likely be too small to be reliable), I'm not aware of any data to suggest the approval of those groups is significantly lower in the South.
Which means that once you isolate for race, a stark reality becomes clear: White Southerners don't like Obama, and more than anywhere else in the country, they think he's to blame for moving the country in the wrong direction.
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Chris Kromm
Chris Kromm is executive director of the Institute for Southern Studies and publisher of the Institute's online magazine, Facing South.